Are mutual fund managers and financial advisors pushing for more actively managed portfolios? That depends on who you are talking to, but the wave of advice coming from advertisements and mainstream financial planning strategists certainly make things appear that way.
Using Uncertain Times to Boost Active Management Ideas
It's human nature to want to take action during uncertain times. That's just the way we are wired as humans. If you don't believe that, take a look at Dalbar's revealing study entitled, Quantitative Analysis of Investor Behavior, which was released in 2001. In this study it was concluded that when the average investor failed to achieve market index returns the most common reason was due to emotionally driven investment behavior.
Investors who consistently deviated from their original plan would compound their stress by second guessing decisions, pulling out of certain markets due to fear, and end up falling into a pattern of buying high and selling low. Of course, no rational investor would intentionally buy high and sell low, but when faced with the right set of circumstances, an unregulated investor is likely to make an entire string of decisions, each one affecting the previous.
Mutual fund managers and financial salespeople are aware of this common investment behavior, and re sounding the "uncertain times" alarm more than ever before. The market has always experienced ups and downs, and likewise, the economy has also weathered its share of hardships. Along with the uncertainty, markets have continued to perform over time, and investors with a well balanced, broadly diversified, and regularly rebalanced portfolio have continued to earn.
Inexperienced Investors are Targeted
Inexperienced or uneducated investors who are looking for a safe haven in these "uncertain times" are prime targets for actively managed portfolios. Why? An actively managed portfolio has the illusion of being more closely watched and more carefully attended to. Just think about the phrase, "actively managed," -- it seems to have the promise of being first priority. Mutual fund companies, who spend millions of dollars on advertising campaigns, are all too eager to solidify this thought process in the minds of investors. Unfortunately, actively managed, doesn't have anything to do with more attention or better performance.
Pulling the Curtain on Actively Managed Funds
It's been over three decades since The Vanguard Group offered the first index-style mutual fund to investors. The strategy behind index funds is to simply match the performance of a broad market sector. This approach has proven to consistently beat actively managed funds, where "wealth managers" engage in stock picking and other risky behavior in an attempt to beat the market.
Even more troubling is the information found in a report conducted by Wharton finance professor, Robert Stambaugh. In the report, it was revealed that the cost attached to actively searching for hot stocks and bonds completely undermines their results.
"The average actively managed stock fund, for example, incurs annual expenses of about 1.3% or $1.30 for every $100 an investor has in the fund. At that rate, the manager has to outperform the market by 1.3% per year just to break even. If the market returned 8%, the fund would have to return 9.3%, a huge margin to achieve each year. Putting it another way, if the fund manager chose investments that returned 8%, his investors would only receive 6.7%."
For most years, only a small percentage of actively managed funds beat their benchmark indexes and managers who have successful returns one year, often fail the next. Stambaugh's report concluded that, "actively managed funds have provided investors with returns significantly below those on the passive benchmarks, on average."